Sanity being restored? Sharp decline in transgender identification

Ryan Burge, Graphs About Religion

Tuesday, December 16, 2025

Has there been a noticeable decline in the share of 18–22-year-olds who identify as transgender over the last couple of years? The answer is unequivocal: yes. In 2020, 8.6 percent of 18–22-year-olds said they were transgender. That was, without question, the high-water mark. Just a year later, the share dropped to 5.6 percent, and the 2022 estimate was 6.1 percent, which is statistically indistinguishable from the previous year’s result. The decline was most acute among the youngest adults, but it wasn’t only them. The drop was widespread, showing up even among people born as early as 1985.