Refund season just got a lot bigger.
According to the New York Post, Americans can expect an average $1,000 boost in tax refunds this year. The White House projects an additional $100 billion will be returned to filers during the 2026 tax season. The administration credits President Trump’s signature second-term legislation.
The filing season officially opened Tuesday. Treasury Department projections estimate $429 billion in refunds, up from $329 billion last year. With average refunds rising about $1,000 per filer, the typical payout is projected to exceed $4,000.
“Millions of Americans are poised to receive significantly larger tax refunds thanks to President Donald J. Trump’s landmark Working Families Tax Cuts Act — which every Democrat in Congress opposed,” the White House said. “The historic legislation is delivering the biggest tax refund season ever.”
Last year, more than three-fifths of U.S. households received refunds averaging $3,167, according to data cited by The Wall Street Journal.
The refund surge reflects tax changes in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act. Republicans made the tax cuts retroactive to the 2025 tax year while leaving IRS withholding tables unchanged. That pushed more of the benefit into lump-sum refunds arriving months before the midterm elections.
Not all filers receive refunds — about 60% do. But those who do are seeing sharply higher payouts.
The surge reflects multiple provisions in the law. The increase in the state and local tax deduction cap to $40,000 accounts for about one-quarter of the individual tax cuts, according to the Tax Foundation.
Call it policy — or call it a midterm-sized check with your name on it.
More over at The New York Post:
Americans will see an average $1,000 boost to their tax refunds – thanks to Trump’s One Big Beautiful Bill https://t.co/8u9SxgE4Dr pic.twitter.com/OyNZ1ZbHRo
— New York Post (@nypost) January 27, 2026
